Research
The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds new discoveries, is not “Eureka” but “That’s funny...”
—Isaac Asimov (1920–1992)
Household Inflation Expectations and Consumer Spending: Evidence from Panel Data (with Mary Burke) - 2023, Review of Economics and Statistics, Dallas Fed blog post on this paper.
Business Complexity and Risk Management: Evidence from Operational Risk Events in U.S. Bank Holding Companies (with Anna Chernobai and Jianlin Wang) - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2021
Show Me the Money: The Monetary Policy Risk Premium (with Mihail Velikov) - Journal of Financial Economics, 2020, CFAI Summary on this paper
Financial Frictions and the Stock Price Reaction to Monetary Policy - Review of Financial Studies, 2018
The Transmission of Monetary Policy through Bank Lending: The Floating Rate Channel (with Filippo Ippolito and Ander Perez) - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2018, VOXEU article on this paper
Financial Leverage, Corporate Investment and Stock Returns - Review of Financial Studies, 2012
Working Papers
Monetary Policy Through Production Networks: Evidence from the Stock Market (with Michael Weber) - (NBER WP 23424) - R&R Review of Financial Studies
High-Yield Debt Covenants and Their Real Effects (with Falk Braeuning and Victoria Ivashina) - CLS Blue Sky blog and Dallas Fed blog post on this paper. - R&R Review of Financial Studies
Interest Rates and Insurance Company Investment Behavior (with Zixuan Wang) - (AFA 2019 version) - R&R Review of Financial Studies
Entrepreneurship and Occupational Choice in the Global Economy (with Federico Diez) - forthcoming IMF Economic Review (publisher's view-only version), Dallas Fed blog post on this paper
Is Public Debt Arm’s Length? Evidence from Corporate Bond Purchases of Life Insurance Companies (with Monica Barbosa) - [WFA 2021: Paper/Slides; NBER Insurance Spring 2023: Paper/Presentation], Dallas Fed blog post on this paper
Interest Rate Surprises: A Tale of Two Shocks (with Ricardo Nunes and Jenny Tang) - Dallas Fed blog post on this paper. - R&R Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Uncertainty, Stock Prices, and Debt Structure (with Jianlin Wang) - Dallas Fed blog and Berkeley Economics Newsroom post on this paper
Not So Fast: High-Frequency Financial Data for Macroeconomic Event Studies (December 2013)
Monetary Policy Shocks and Stock Returns: Identification Through Impossible Trinity (with Yifan Yu, updated in September 2013)
Distressed, but not risky: Reconciling the empirical relationship between financial distress, market-based risk indicators, and stock returns (and more) (November 2012, AEA 2013 version; this supersedes The Distress Premium Puzzle (November 2010))
Implications of Investment Adjustment Cost for Investment Behavior (under substantial revision)
On the College Dropouts: Wealth and Uninsurable Idiosyncratic Risk (with Nicholas Trachter) (Aug 2015) - revision in progress
College Enrollment, Dropouts and Option Value of Education (with Nicholas Trachter)
